ALASKA'S NEWSPAPER

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Doug Reynolds

University of Alaska Fairbanks photo

Doug Reynolds

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UAF professor predicts $5-plus gasoline in next decade

A University of Alaska Fairbanks professor told a Chamber of Commerce luncheon on Tuesday that he foresees a doubling of the price of oil -- and the pump price of gasoline -- in the next decade. Doug Reynolds, author of an upcoming book about global oil dependence, says demand will drive prices relentlessly up, reports the Fairbanks Daily News-Miner.

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Reynolds said the current reality of "peak oil" - the period when global petroleum extraction begins to decline - and an expected surge in oil demand in developing countries will contribute to an upcoming price spike.

"We're going to go through a tremendous 10- to 20-year difficult transition," he said.

Reynolds said more developing nations are reaching a level of affluence that allows families to begin purchasing cars. In a country such as India, that could translate into millions more vehicles on the road, adding another contributor to worldwide demand for petroleum.

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